Media Summary: The pundits we all listen to are no better at predictions than a “dart-throwing chimp,” and they are routinely surpassed by normal ... But according to the Good Judgement project by the American psychologist and political scientist, Why are so many experts so wrong, yet people keep listening to them? Who really is worth listening to about the future?
Superforecasting Philip Tetlock - Detailed Analysis & Overview
The pundits we all listen to are no better at predictions than a “dart-throwing chimp,” and they are routinely surpassed by normal ... But according to the Good Judgement project by the American psychologist and political scientist, Why are so many experts so wrong, yet people keep listening to them? Who really is worth listening to about the future? IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 0:00:00 - Intro 0:09:15 - How to prevent confirmation bias for your investments 0:12:10 - Why ... Can you predict the future? Or at least gauge the probability of political or economic events in the near future? Can you predict the future? Why are so many so-called 'experts' wrong so often? How can we combat our worst biases and get ...
John Rentoul, chief political commentator at The Independent, read the book I love coffee! Please support my channel with a $5 contribution by buying me a coffee: Discover and listen to more book summaries at: "The Art and Science of Prediction" Transcript ... Yogi Berra once said, "It's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." Big Data is a suite of powerful new tools and techniques that can help us work out what happened, what will happen and what we ...
